NooreshTech Weekly Insights – 17th March 2022

Last Post : https://nooreshtech.co.in/2022/03/new-series-nooreshtech-weekly-insights.html

NooreshTech Weekly Insights - 17th March 2022

1) Insider Trading Alert

Amarjothi Spinning Mills Limited

Promoter bought 0.47% since Sep'20 to Dec'21. Bought more 80.9k shares since Dec'21 i.e. ~1.18%

Anil Kumar Goel held 3.56% until Dec'20 and added 3.2% more. Total holding 6.76%

Chart

 

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Smallcase performance vs Benchmark

 

2) Crude Backwardation

What is backwardation ?

Backwardation is when the current price, or spot price, of an underlying asset is higher than prices trading in the futures market.

Crude Backwardation

When oil futures trade at lower levels than spot prices and near-term futures, that’s known as backwardation.Brent crude, the international benchmark oil price, was trading at its most severe backwardation since futures prices have been tracked.

Backwardation on 10th March 2022

Backwardation as of 17th March 2022

Source Link : https://twitter.com/dspmf/status/1499722332448821250/photo/1

Read More : https://www.dspim.com/media/pages/latest-literature/bf457e551d-1646395804/netra-early-warnings-signals-through-charts-march-2022.pdf

 

Written about backwardation multiple times

https://twitter.com/nooreshtech/status/1499625211905605635?s=20&t=DLVNf6axd1kkKNXsDKAGpQ

https://twitter.com/nooreshtech/status/1499625132339638272?s=20&t=DLVNf6axd1kkKNXsDKAGpQ

 

We see such mismatches when there are events like war, sanctions or other geopolitical crises. Generally this becomes a pivot point for markets where a long term top is in place for crude.

 

3) US FED Rate Changes v/s Nifty 50

Rate Hike Cycle

 

Flat Rates

 

Falling Rates

 

It's been observed that during the period of rate hike and periods when there are no rate changes, the Nifty has typically done well.

On the other hand, Nifty have fallen just after the interest rates start falling

 

4) Opening Up Theme

 

After the COVID cases have receded, some pockets which were worst impacted by Covid are now showing strength 

Equiweight Chart – Hotels

 

Equiweight Chart - Retail

 

Equiweight  - Theatres

 

Do let us know in the comments section if you have a take on any of the above observations!!

 

Happy Weekend !!

 

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