In my recent tweets have mentioned about how a lot of star performers of 2014 and so called quality names are down 30-40% from peak and 1 yr return is closer to zero or negative. ( Aia Engineering , Astra poly , mayur uniquoters, symphony , sun pharma etc )
Nifty has been in a downtrend for almost 8-10 months now from the peak in Jan-Feb 2015.
Like the so called quality names of 2014 in midcaps/smallcaps a large no of Nifty stocks are in a major sideways range for a year. This has made it absolutely difficult to trade large caps as barely few stocks have good trends ( up or down ) for example Maruti in up and Metals in down. Midcaps/Smallcaps/Microcaps are getting very stock specific moves on both sides but good clear trends.
As of now not many look close to a breakout but doubt they can stay in this range for 2016. So hopefully 2016 could be an interesting year for fresh trends in large caps.
Have not covered all but some of the sideways charts in Nifty 50 stocks. Could be more. But these 15 form a major chunk of the Index Weightage.
TCS --- Closer to Breakdown but No Follow Up
SunPharma - Range Breaks on Downside
State Bank of India --- Lot of False starts from 230-250
Reliance Inds - Back to testing 1000-1030 range . Can it breakout in 2016 ?
Mahindra and Mahindra - Back to testing the 1350-1400 range ... Will it breakout or back again ?
Larsen and Toubro --- Breakdown from range but no major follow up selling. Needs to recover above 1450-1500 to change tracks.
Kotak Mahindra Bank --- Will it break 600-750 range in 2016 ?
ITC --- Absolutely no trend for a couple of years now. Will it comeback or its good times are over ?
Infosys - What a range for a year !! 950-1150
ICICI Bank - Back to where it started from - 245-260 an important support
HDFC Bank --- Sideways but no major drop. A small range of 970-1120.
HDFC Limited - 1100-1350 a range. Will it change in 2016 ?
Cipla - 600 a good support. Time to chip in ?
Bajaj Auto - Triangle Consolidation. Will it break above 2650 in 2016 ?
Axis Bank - Back to Breakout Area. 430-450 crucial supports.
Bottomline
For the last 1 year or more we at Analyse India have focused a lot more midcaps/smallcaps and microcaps ( which we anyways focused are all the time ) but I think 2016 could be a time to again focus on Large Caps and watch for new trends to form and possibly give some low risk high reward trades.
We also have a product for Investors with a long term outlook and is for limited no of members and subscription open only for limited period of time.
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- The charges are Rs 24000 ( For 1 year and a little more ) .
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