Smallcaps Diverging with Nifty.. Be Disciplined.

In the last few sessions Nifty is down 1% from the peak but the Smallcap Index is down 5% from the peak.

Nifty Small to Nifty

Although the signal which makes me more scared is if Nifty goes up X% and Smallcap Index goes up 3X%

Since the bottom in Demonetization the Nifty is up 18-20% and Smallcap Index is up a good 30% or more.

The above reaction suggests we may now see more volatility in Smallcaps and one needs to be careful if using leverage or speculating without a good discipline /  risk management in Smallcaps. Going ahead even the rally in smallcaps will be much more selective.

So if you have bought a lot of microcaps with no research then its a time to be careful.

Timepass Observations.

Very recently I had tweeted about a chart – Videocon Inds

The chart has now finally broken down

Videocon Inds

This action looks very similar to what happened with Bhushan Steel

https://nooreshtech.co.in/2013/09/bhushan-steel-surprising-data-low-delivery-volumes-but-range-bound-prices.html 

Generally i avoid posting breakdown as there is no way to profit from it …

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