Nifty – Good volumes in cash on Expiry. Range bound moves to continue.

Niftyderivative

 

Nifty has broken the major supports at 5150/4950 and the intermediate uptrend has been broken but no momentum seen on the downside. On a longer term trendline and short term parallel channel supports are placed at 4800. An uptrend can resume above 5050. Expect range bound moves between 4800-5050 any move beyond this range will give a trend change giving a 200-250 points directional move.

The view for 6000 Nifty has been negated with the close below 5050-5100. Nifty has reached oversold levels equivalent to major panic bottoms like December 2011, October 2008, March 2009 and a major bottom formation takes some weeks around this levels.

 

The most important thing to note today was a huge volume on cash stocks today and in Nifty too ( look at the last green tick on the chart above ) . Maybe it could be because of expiry but we did see a lot of cash volumes and some wild spikes in Reliance Inds, Infosys, Bank of Baroda and many stocks in derivative segment.

 

June will be an interesting although i am very optimistic on this month in terms of returns.

 

Happy Investing,

 

Nooresh

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