Dow Jones —- 10500 is a crucial support



Dow Jones Technical View:


Although the technical setup pointed to 11150-11250 or 11400-11500 holding up on Dow Jones but the S&P Downgrade was the killer.

In my previous update -

This is what i had mentioned

-> RSI is back to the lows of 30 where it has generally bottomed in 2009-2011.

-> Only time the index has gone below 30 was in 2008 when there were plenty of out of the blue announcements and trigger. In the worst case of some announcement it can go to 10500 levels.


RSI dipped below 30 on friday and we saw an out of blue announcement by S&P Downgrade did the trick and Dow made a low of 10604 whereas in the futures it did come to 10400-10500.

So from here on the downside supports are placed at 10400-10500 from where we can see a sharp bounce back.

The earlier trend of Sell Emerging Markets and Buy Developed markets which worked for last many months now seems to be turning.


So buy emerging markets and sell Developed markets will be the new strategy 🙂


I maintain my bullish view on Indian markets but more on the broader market side and not on Index. Downsides to 4700-4750 or 4900-4950 is the base but upside remains super in broader market.


One of our favorites remains Godrej Inds which was recommended at 195-205 made a high of 235 + is now at 215. Investors with a horizon of 3-6 months as well as 1-5 years should accumulate the stock on any sharp decline or SIP. Can be a large part of the portfolio with low downside risk.


There are a few more stocks which we are getting into and will be discussed in the future.


Happy Investing,


Nooresh Merani


  1. Gandhe srinvas
    August 13, 2011

    Nooresh i follow you from last 4 years i really like the way you predict the market and do the technical of the market.

    I have aquery what is the future of GTL LTD i stuck in that stock @105 is right to average the stock or to exit the same please;

    Gandhe srinivas

    1. nooresh
      August 17, 2011

      Hi gandhe,

      GTL Ltd nothing can be said ! No catching a falling knife

  2. Manoj Kumar
    August 13, 2011

    Sir Plz Update Abt Gold!! As Alredy Ur Positional Targets Are Done ….Now Wht Next u Expectt ….

    Your Student
    Manoj Kumar

    1. nooresh
      August 17, 2011

      Hi Manoj,

      Gold is now into speculative territory at 1800 dollars. Very difficult to take a positional call.

  3. Himanshu Gupta
    August 16, 2011

    Gandhe srinvas ji

    Exit GTL on rises…it can go ks oil way …who knows 🙂


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