Sensex Technical View:
The current move in Sensex is a clear example of what happens on a Technical Breakout !! I had been discussing this possibility of 20500 for a long time now and within 2 weeks of breakout its at 20k.
When we see a 30-40% move up in stocks its easy to digest but a similar 10% move in Sensex is difficult 🙂 thats how markets are and one should never go against the trend.
Me made a mistake of taking a high risk short at 5825-5840 stoploss of 5865. Luckily part booking was done at 5785 in dips so a 30 point loss but the discipline kept us out. As of now will wait for a trend change or any technical signal to short till then just wait and watch.
Short term range should now shift to 19500-20500 band. Fresh Index entry can only be done closer to 18500 on technicals.
Be stock specific. As i had mentioned before that Small Caps/Midcaps had rallied much before then the index - https://nooreshtech.co.in/2010/08/small-cap-and-mid-caps-rallied-were-you-left-looking-at-the-sensex.html
For now in the last 2 weeks of breakout the midcaps/smallcaps have not performed. Will we again see that Sensex consolidates and Midcaps start moving up. This is just a thought but will need to observe the next few days to get clarity.
STRONG TECHNICAL PICK -
Moderate Risk - High Returns :
Reliance Capital - Buy at 825-835 stoploss 805 target 875/930 in 1-2 months.
The stock has given a strong technical breakout today with decent volumes.
Take a position only where you can digest the stoploss of 805 which is 4%. If you cannot digest then you are taking a position larger then your risk. Technically its a clean breakout but the history of the stock shows its highly volatile thats why its been mentioned to be moderate risk else its a low risk high return trade possibly similar to HUL !
Disclosure: Recommended to clients at 828-835 today.
IDBI :
The stock has been a laggard in the banking space but has recently given indications of a breakout. Buying can be done at current with a closing stoploss of 138. If that breaks we could see 132. Upside target 160 + in next 1-2 months.
Disclosure: RECOMMMENDED AT 144 to clients and free Newsletter Subscribers ( Fill the form u get on the blog)
SUN PHARMA
Another nice trade we had from 1830 to 1910-1940. The stock should even head to 1990-2050 in near term. Was advised to clients at 1830 and Blog readers who subscribed to the newsletters at 1860
Hindustan Unilever- hope people made tons of money in this strong technical pick suggested at 275.
Stocks to watchout for :
Weird Small Cap Pick - Malu Paper Mills - Risk 10% Reward 30% in short term. Siemens look set for 800-820 in near term. High risk buy on dips for 1 week.
Cheers,
Nooresh
September 22, 2010
Sir in RCAP Stop Loss is on closing basis or its intraday basis?
September 22, 2010
As always ur research help us a lot.
malu paper & rel.capital nice on chart will breakout shortly!!!
He$H…
September 22, 2010
I forget to write that time techno i bought as per ur call but not move as expected!!!
Bought @55
Reply soon…
Also check icici bank chart mail u on gmail id.
He$H…
September 22, 2010
GOT STOPPED out in Time
September 23, 2010
so i have 2 exit from time techno!!!
September 22, 2010
DEAR NOORESH JI,
I M PRATIK FROM KOLKATA,
AS PER UR RCMNDTN (NOT BLAMNG TO U SIR EVEN THOUGH I HV EARNED MONEY FROM UR RCMNDTN LIKE IN KSCL, ARVIND, ALPHAGEO, AKSH OPTIFIBRE & HUL ETS. SIR, THANKS FOR THIS).
I HV BOUGHT RICO AUTO @30 * 1000 SHRS & INDO RAMA @43 *1000 SHRS. WHAT SHULD TO DO RITE NW.
WILL WAIT FOR THE UPWARD MOMENT OR CAN AVG AT THIS LVL.
I ALWAYS BELIVE IN UR VIEWS & WAIT EAGERLY AT MORNING 4 UR NEWSLETTERS IN MU E-MAILS SIR, IF U RCMND ANY STCKS, G8 FOLLOWER OF U.
I NVR CHCKS ITS FUNDAMENTALS, BCOZ U HV RCMND SIR. I ALYS REQ U 2 TK SEMINAR AT KOLKATA. I WL TK D RESPNSBLTY 4 ALL ARNGMNT SIR.
PLS PLS PLS HELP ME OUT.
REGARDS
PRATIK MORE
KOLKATA.
September 22, 2010
Hi Pratik,
Rico Auto has been testing patience. Stoploss is 26.5. Indo Rama Synthetics stoploss 38 on closing bsis.
Dhunseri TEa looks interesting
September 27, 2010
Hi Nooresh,
Rico Auto has been really testing patience. Very close to your stop loss. Do you still maintain a 1-3 mths wait as suggested earlier?
Kindly let me know. I bought a chunk at 29.5 on seeing your reco.
Regards.
Sunayana.
September 30, 2010
Hi Nooresh,
Are you stopped out on Rico Auto??
Regards.
Sunayana.
September 30, 2010
Yes got stopped our at 26 odd 🙁 Bad trade
September 22, 2010
Nooresh,
Few more feather(s) to your crown today:
SunPharma touched 1983.75 today. Your clients with this stock would have celebrated 🙂
HUL strong move today (low – 289 and LTP-298). Great TA done. Keep it going.
Looking forward to meet you / your team on the Bangalore TA session on Oct’10.
Thanks,
Prasan.
September 22, 2010
Hi Prasana,
The reasons for the same were given on the blog 🙂 Good if u made some money on it.
Yes will soon meet people in bangalore
Cheers,
Nooresh
September 22, 2010
Dear Nooresh i have been observing your momentum line since october 2009 and it worked really well and we had 10% fall atleast but this time when ever momentum line broken market went higher and went above line even after breaking and it has happened 4 times in this rally.. how one should read such situation… has the momentum line failed this time?????
Also pl post ur view on crude 🙂
September 23, 2010
be careful ur running the virusprogram
September 23, 2010
what is the problem when i open ur site virus program running , also thefting creditcard nos,bankaaacount nos
September 23, 2010
kis11.0.10400en.exe.part running ur site
September 24, 2010
Hi Swamy,
I havent got a similar prob from any other reader but will get it checked